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“Know yourself and you will win all battles.”
— Sun Tzu, The Art of War
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🏦 Mortgage & Fintech
12
6.58%
30-YR FIXED
5.96%
15-YR FIXED
4.69%
10-YR TREASURY
Rates as of 7/23/2026
Mortgage spreads held at 1.94% keeping rates below 7%, though purchase applications edged up just 0.2% annually as demand remains tepid against affordability headwinds. Berkshire Hathaway closed its $8.5B acquisition of Taylor Morrison at $72.50 per share, signaling consolidation appetite in homebuilding even as June new home sales fell 5.6% year-over-year to a 628,000 annual pace with median prices at $398,300. NVR's land-light strategy is showing cracks as permitting constraints limit supply, contrasting sharply with Lennar's pivot toward asset-light on-demand models across the sector. The foreclosure uptick—up 21%—reflects normalization rather than crisis, though deed theft threats loom for seniors and Black homeowners as title fraud remains a blind spot.
TAKEAWAYRate relief could unlock demand, but supply constraints remain the real bottleneck.